Buccaneers vs. Texans Prediction, Player Prop Bets & Odds for 11/5
After beginning the season with an impressive 3-1 record, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have since fallen to 3-4. However, it is far from panic time in a wide open NFC South with a very winnable game this Sunday against the Houston Texans. Therefore, we’ve provided you with our experts’ best Buccaneers vs. Texans prediction and Buccaneers vs. Texans player prop bets.
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BUCCANEERS VS. TEXANS PREDICTION: Tampa +2.5 (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Houston Texans Prediction for NFL Week 9
The Bucs and Texans enter their Week 9 matchup with identical 3-4 records, so we’re not shocked to see we have quite a short point spread. However, given Houston’s expectations and a rookie QB, we still expected it to be closer to a pick ‘em.
While Tampa has lost more than they’ve won recently, it’s extremely important to note who they’ve lost to. Three of their four losses have come to the 7-1 Philadelphia Eagles, 6-2 Detroit Lions and 5-3 Buffalo Bills. Those are top contenders in their respective conferences, which is why we say it is far from panic time in Tampa.
These cross-conference opponents don’t play often, but QB Baker Mayfield has faced Houston while with the Cleveland Browns. In his first meeting against the Texans, he had an incredible 397-yard performance, and he led the Browns to victories in the other two meetings. With him now having even better weapons around him with the WR duo of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, our best Buccaneers vs. Texans prediction is on Tampa Bay +2.5 (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Buccaneers vs. Texans Player Prop Picks & Best Bets Featuring Mike Evans & Dameon Pierce
With such a tight game projected, you may want to roll with our Buccaneers vs. Texans player prop bets instead. After allowing the absolute most rushing yards per game by a large margin last season, new Houston head coach DeMeco Ryans made sure to address that issue.
However, while that has improved, they are now in the bottom 10 in terms of passing yards allowed per game. We already mentioned Mayfield having thrown for nearly 400 yards against the Texans in his career, but we’re going to focus on a Tampa mainstay - WR Mike Evans. In his lone career game versus Houston, he had a fantastic game, totaling 101 yards on just seven catches.
We also aren’t concerned with the lack of performance last week. He seems to bounce back from those, as evidenced by his 82-yard game directly following a 49-yard performance just a few weeks ago. Given the advantageous matchup, the first of our Buccaneers vs. Texans player prop bets is on Evans over 52.5 receiving yards (-125 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
As for our second pick, we’re going to lean into what helped the Bucs start the year 3-1. That would be their run defense, which has continued to be strong. Tampa is a top-10 team in that regard, and Houston RB Dameon Pierce has been one of the most disappointing backs in the NFL.
He’s averaged over 3.5 yards per carry just once and has finished with less than 40 yards four times already this season. If he plays, which he might not due to an ankle injury, target Pierce under rushing yards at DraftKings Sportsbook to cap off our Buccaneers vs. Texans player prop bets.
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Latest Buccaneers vs. Texans Odds, Spread & Betting Lines for 11/5 Brought to You by DraftKings
The latest Buccaneers vs. Texans odds at DraftKings Sportsbook are shown below, and we’ll breakdown the payout for both our Buccaneers vs. Texans prediction and Buccaneers vs. Texans player prop bets.
Point Spread:
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5 (-105) vs. Houston Texans -2.5 (-115)
Money Line:
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+124) vs. Houston Texans (-148)
Total (over/under):
- Over 40 (-110) vs. Under 40 (-110)
Mike Evans Receiving Yards:
- Over 52.5 (-125) vs. Under 52.5 (-105)
A $105 bet on the Bucs +2.5 profits $100 as long as they lose by one or two points or pull off the upset, a $125 bet on Evans profits $100 as long as he finishes with 53 or more receiving yards.
Buccaneers Injury Report vs. Texans
To put a bow on things, here is the latest injury report for Tampa ahead of their matchup versus the Texans:
- (TB Buccaneers): G Matt Feiler, T Tristan Wirfs, TE Ko Kieft and DL Logan Hall are all questionable / doubtful
- (HOU Texans): T George Fant, CB Ka'dar Hollman, T Tytus Howard, TE Brevin Jordan, RB Dameon Pierce, DT Sheldon Rankins, T Laremy Tunsil, WR Robert Woods are questionable/doubtful
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